The Forex market consistently attracts traders of
all skill levels and strategies. With unconventional methods of economic
stimulus becoming more conventional recently, strong trends have
developed in the valuation of currencies. One common Forex strategy
utilized is a trend following strategy.
There are 3 ways to identify trading opportunities into the direction of a strong trend.
- Buy the dips, sell the rallies
- Breakouts into new highs or lows
- Diversify with currency baskets
Buy Dips
A common Forex strategy is to buy low and sell high.
This type of strategy is generally sought out by many newer traders.
More experienced traders will also buy dips and sell rallies too, but
they bring a filter with an edge to this strategy. More experienced
traders filter signals with a strong trend.
You see, many traders utilize indicators and
oscillators to help them determine when currency pairs have become
oversold so they can buy low. On the other hand, traders look for
overbought levels on the oscillator to aid them in deciding when to
sell. The signals on oscillators are generally straightforward and easy
to read. However, one trading tip we offer in our Forex courses is to
filter your signals in the direction of the trend.
Breakouts
A breakout strategy is technically the opposite of
buying dips in a rally. In a breakout, wait for the price to move
higher, and then buy at a higher price than you would have when buying
dips. This begs the question, why somebody would want to do this?
The reason is because the market is made up of
emotions. There are times when the prices don’t seem rational which is
how bubbles develop. Breakout trading simply looks to play on those
emotions because the reason prices are moving higher may not be rooted
in fundamentals, but that traders are getting greedy and buying with all
they have. Several famous traders like the Turtle traders used a
breakout strategy.
Therefore, the advantage a breakout strategy is
confirmation. You get entered into the buying position only when prices
have confirmed they are ready to trade at new highs. Therefore, if the
confirmation doesn’t come and if prices do not trade to new highs, then
you have been kept away from a losing trade.
Baskets
A currency basket is
a collection of currency pairs traded where the sole purpose is to
highlight a specific currency’s move. For example, if you felt the US
Dollar was going to gain strength and wanted to buy a US Dollar basket,
you might look to place the following trades:
- Buy USDJPY
- Sell EURUSD
- Sell GBPUSD
- Sell AUDUSD
One advantage of basket trading is diversification.
Since exchange rates are quoted as currency pairs, but wrong on the
trade. For example, let’s assume you decide to trade the USDJPY because
of US Dollar strength. If the JPY gains more strength than the USD,
then you would have been right about US Dollar strength, but wrong on
the trade simply due the other currency you matched it up against.
On the other hand, if you diversifying the trade as a
basket, then you are boiling the trade down to a US Dollar move. Forex
trends can last a while, so a powerful basket approach can be a less stressful way to trade these trends.
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